For the article, photo a Reform Cymru office - surprised they could well the countries name! With the text Labour is bracing itself for a humiliating by-election defeat in its Welsh heartlands as voters abandon the party for Reform UK and Plaid Cymru.
Polls suggest that Labour could win as little as 12 per cent of the vote in Caerphilly, the South Wales Valleys seat which it has consistently held since devolution.
A defeat would have immediate implications for Labour’s ability to pass its budget in the Welsh parliament next year as it would hold less than half of the 60 Senedd seats. The result would also be seen as a bellwether of Labour’s loss of support in Wales before all-out elections for the Senedd next year.
Labour has been in power in Wales for more than quarter of a century since Sir Tony Blair first established a Welsh Assembly in 1999. However its vote is fracturing between support for the left-leaning nationalist party Plaid Cymru and Nigel Farage’s Reform UK, which has been winning voters from both Labour and the Tories.
For the article, photo a Reform Cymru office - surprised they could well the countries name! With the text Labour is bracing itself for a humiliating by-election defeat in its Welsh heartlands as voters abandon the party for Reform UK and Plaid Cymru. Polls suggest that Labour could win as little as 12 per cent of the vote in Caerphilly, the South Wales Valleys seat which it has consistently held since devolution. A defeat would have immediate implications for Labour’s ability to pass its budget in the Welsh parliament next year as it would hold less than half of the 60 Senedd seats. The result would also be seen as a bellwether of Labour’s loss of support in Wales before all-out elections for the Senedd next year. Labour has been in power in Wales for more than quarter of a century since Sir Tony Blair first established a Welsh Assembly in 1999. However its vote is fracturing between support for the left-leaning nationalist party Plaid Cymru and Nigel Farage’s Reform UK, which has been winning voters from both Labour and the Tories.